The Weather and Climate Impact Assessment Science Initiative
نویسنده
چکیده
This initiative is composed of three elements, which were chosen based on consideration of recurring themes and issues that have emerged in assessments of the effects of climate variability and change on human society and the environment, and in which there are important research gaps. The two most recent noteworthy assessments have provided considerable material for consideration of the state of assessment science and what aspects of it would most benefit from further development. These are the U. S. National Assessment and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Third assessment Report (TAR), both published in 2001. A number of NCAR scientists have been involved in one or both activities, and there is a wealth of experience at NCAR in earlier assessment activities (e.g., SAR and FAR). This initiative also directly concerns weather impacts, which is a rapidly expanding research area. The three aspects of assessment science discussed in this initiative are: 1. characterizing uncertainty in various phases of assessment work, 2. extreme weather and climate events, and 3. climate/health interactions. The initiative encompasses both research and service or application components. Aspects of the initiative are also highly congruent with the role of NCAR as a national center that should be providing services to the broader atmospheric sciences (e.g. university community).
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